{"id":136318,"date":"2026-07-16T16:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-16T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/?p=136318"},"modified":"2026-07-16T18:24:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-16T16:24:10","slug":"forint-vs-euro-rovid-tavon-nyero-hosszu-tavon-kerdeses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/forint-vs-euro-rovid-tavon-nyero-hosszu-tavon-kerdeses\/","title":{"rendered":"Forint vs. eur\u00f3: r\u00f6vid t\u00e1von nyer\u0151, hossz\u00fa t\u00e1von k\u00e9rd\u00e9ses"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Az els\u0151 f\u00e9l\u00e9v forinter\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9se nagyon \u00e9rz\u00e9kenyen \u00e9rintette azokat, akik a kor\u00e1bbi \u00e1rfolyamgyeng\u00edt\u0151 jegybanki politika ellen v\u00e9dekezve eur\u00f3ban takar\u00edtottak meg. A forint vs. eur\u00f3 k\u00e9rd\u00e9sben viszont az az igaz\u00e1n fontos, hogy ki \u00e9s mi\u00e9rt tartja eur\u00f3ban vagy doll\u00e1rban a befektet\u00e9s\u00e9nek egy r\u00e9sz\u00e9t. A tudatos vagyonkezel\u00e9sben megl\u00e9v\u0151 igazi strat\u00e9giai szempontok ugyanis t\u00f6bbet sz\u00e1m\u00edtanak f\u00e9l \u00e9vnyi devizamozg\u00e1sn\u00e1l.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Eur-\u00f3\u00f3\u00f3\u2026 ez nem el\u00edr\u00e1s. Azok, akiknek nem volt kifejezett strat\u00e9gi\u00e1juk az eur\u00f3tart\u00e1sra, \u2013mint a fentebb eml\u00edtett biztons\u00e1gkeres\u00e9s \u2013 a forint elm\u00falt p\u00e1r h\u00f3napj\u00e1t n\u00e9zve azt gondolhatj\u00e1k, hogy rossz d\u00f6nt\u00e9st hoztak. Hogy mit jelent ez? Sokan \u2013 f\u00e9lve valamilyen Magyarorsz\u00e1got vagy a forintot \u00e9rint\u0151 negat\u00edv hat\u00e1st\u00f3l \u2013 ink\u00e1bb eur\u00f3ban tartj\u00e1k megtakar\u00edt\u00e1saik jelent\u0151s r\u00e9sz\u00e9t. Mondhatni, bevezett\u00e9k maguknak az eur\u00f3t. Mindez kapcsol\u00f3dik a p\u00e9nz pszichol\u00f3gi\u00e1j\u00e1hoz \u2013 \u00e9rdemes <a href=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/noveld-befektetesi-idotavodatkonyvajanlo-az-unnepekre\/\">a k\u00f6nyvet is elolvasni r\u00f3la<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A legt\u00f6bben teh\u00e1t strat\u00e9gi\u00e1t \u00e9p\u00edtettek fel arra, milyen legyen a devizaar\u00e1ny, illetve a k\u00f6tv\u00e9ny-, r\u00e9szv\u00e9ny-, ingatlan- \u00e9s c\u00e9ges vagyon ar\u00e1nya a portf\u00f3li\u00f3ban. Ha nagy v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s t\u00f6rt\u00e9nik a k\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00e9nyekben, mint most is, akkor a strat\u00e9gi\u00e1t fel\u00fcl lehet vizsg\u00e1lni. De a hossz\u00fat\u00e1v\u00fa strat\u00e9gia fontosabb, mint a f\u00e9l\u00e9ves devizamozg\u00e1sok. J\u00f3magam p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul pontosan tudom, mi\u00e9rt \u00e9s mennyi eur\u00f3t, illetve doll\u00e1rt tartok a portf\u00f3li\u00f3mban. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kicsit sem zavar a forinter\u0151, nem forintban n\u00e9zem a hozamot, hanem saj\u00e1t deviz\u00e1ban. Nem spekul\u00e1lok, hossz\u00fat\u00e1v\u00fa c\u00e9ljaim vannak.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-wp-embed is-provider-holdblog wp-block-embed-holdblog\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"YyzHJ0YB57\"><a href=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/zsiday-a-forint-mostantol-euro-ha-hiszunk-a-csatlakozasban\/\">A forint mostant\u00f3l eur\u00f3, ha hisz\u00fcnk a csatlakoz\u00e1sban<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u201cA forint mostant\u00f3l eur\u00f3, ha hisz\u00fcnk a csatlakoz\u00e1sban\u201d \u2014 HOLDBLOG\" src=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/zsiday-a-forint-mostantol-euro-ha-hiszunk-a-csatlakozasban\/embed\/#?secret=ooJk8NgGaT#?secret=YyzHJ0YB57\" data-secret=\"YyzHJ0YB57\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Matolcsy Gy\u00f6rgy idej\u00e9ben a folyamatos forintle\u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u0151d\u00e9s miatt nem okozott k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sebb probl\u00e9m\u00e1t az eur\u00f3tart\u00e1s, azok sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra sem, akik forintban n\u00e9zik a vagyonuk \u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9t, hiszen a cs\u00fasz\u00f3 le\u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u00e9s miatt k\u00f6r\u00fclbel\u00fcl annyit gyeng\u00fclt a forint, amekkora a kamatk\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6zet volt. Forintban n\u00e9zve szinte mindegy volt, hogy valaki forintban vagy eur\u00f3ban tartotta a megtakar\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2026 els\u0151 f\u00e9l\u00e9v\u00e9ben, szigor\u00faan v\u00e9ve azonos kock\u00e1zati szinten, azok j\u00e1rtak j\u00f3l, akik forintban tartott\u00e1k a megtakar\u00edt\u00e1saikat, mivel elt\u0171nt a forint le\u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u00e9sre j\u00e1tsz\u00f3 politika. Volt egy nagy riadalom a Hormuzi-szorost \u00e9rt blok\u00e1d miatt, ami m\u00e9g most sem old\u00f3dott meg teljesen, de egyel\u0151re megtanultunk egy\u00fctt \u00e9lni a probl\u00e9m\u00e1val, ahogy az ukrajnai h\u00e1bor\u00fa okozta neh\u00e9zs\u00e9gekkel is.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">R\u00f6vid t\u00e1von nem biztos, hogy a forint a nyer\u0151<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ha el\u0151re tekint\u00fcnk, nem biztos, hogy a j\u00f6v\u0151ben is a forint tart\u00e1sa lesz a nyer\u0151. Sz\u00e1mos elemz\u0151 gyeng\u00e9bb forintot vizion\u00e1l. Cs\u00f6kkent az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 \u2013 \u00e9s az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1s is \u2013, ami hat\u00e1ssal van a kamatokra. Az alapkamat v\u00e1g\u00e1sa is indokolt, cs\u00f6kkennek a k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyhozamok is. Kev\u00e9sb\u00e9 lesz \u00e9rdekes a forint a carry tradereknek, ami mag\u00e1val hozhatja a gyeng\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9t is, hiszen megsz\u0171nik a nagy v\u00e9teli er\u0151 a forintpiacr\u00f3l. Van persze sz\u00e1mos forint er\u0151re hat\u00f3 t\u00e9nyez\u0151 is, mint az uni\u00f3s forr\u00e1sok, ez\u00e9rt neh\u00e9z j\u00f3slatokba bocs\u00e1tkozni, hol lesz az \u00e1rfolyam 2026 \u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Egy m\u00e1sik \u00e9rdekes \u00f6sszef\u00fcgg\u00e9st is \u00e9rdemes figyelembe venni. Ha a doll\u00e1r meg\u00edt\u00e9l\u00e9s\u00e9ben v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s t\u00f6rt\u00e9nik, \u00e9s er\u0151s\u00f6dik a doll\u00e1r az eur\u00f3val szemben, a felt\u00f6rekv\u0151 piaci deviz\u00e1k \u2013 k\u00f6zt\u00fck a forint \u2013 szinte mindig gyeng\u00fclnek. B\u00e1r logik\u00e1tlannak t\u0171nhet, hogy k\u00e9t eur\u00f3pai deviza egym\u00e1shoz viszony\u00edtott \u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9t egy amerikai p\u00e9nznem mozgassa, a h\u00e1tt\u00e9rben megh\u00faz\u00f3d\u00f3 piaci mechanizmusok k\u00f6zvetlen \u00e9s er\u0151s l\u00e1ncreakci\u00f3t ind\u00edtanak el: gyeng\u00fclhet a forint az eur\u00f3val \u00e9s doll\u00e1rral szemben is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A k\u00f6vetkeztet\u00e9sem teh\u00e1t az, hogy akik nem devizaspekul\u00e1ci\u00f3 miatt tartanak eur\u00f3t a portf\u00f3li\u00f3ban, kev\u00e9sb\u00e9 vagy egy\u00e1ltal\u00e1n nem foglalkoznak az \u00e1rfolyammal. \u0150k a biztons\u00e1got veszik meg. Ha egy id\u0151 ut\u00e1n \u00fagy \u00e9rzik, hogy a forint is biztons\u00e1gos, kevesebb \u00faj megtakar\u00edt\u00e1s ker\u00fcl majd eur\u00f3ba- f\u00fcggetlen\u00fcl az eur\u00f3 bevezet\u00e9si sz\u00e1nd\u00e9kt\u00f3l.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A napokban \u00edrtam arr\u00f3l, <a href=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/egy-ponton-mar-kell-az-egeszseges-paranoia\/\">mennyivel m\u00e1sk\u00e9pp viselked\u00fcnk a p\u00e9nz megteremt\u00e9se \u00e9s a megteremtett p\u00e9nz gondoz\u00e1sa kapcs\u00e1n<\/a>. A cikk meglep\u0151en sok besz\u00e9lget\u00e9st ind\u00edtott h\u00e1zon bel\u00fcl \u00e9s az \u00fcgyfeleink k\u00f6z\u00f6tt is, \u00e9s ehhez kapcsol\u00f3dik az eur\u00f3bevezet\u00e9s is. A strat\u00e9giai szeml\u00e9leten t\u00fal a forint le\u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u00e9st\u0151l, infl\u00e1ci\u00f3t\u00f3l val\u00f3 f\u00e9lelem, nagyobb kisz\u00e1m\u00edthat\u00f3s\u00e1g ir\u00e1nti v\u00e1gy lehet az oka annak is, hogy oly sokan szeretn\u00e9k az eur\u00f3 bevezet\u00e9s\u00e9t Magyarorsz\u00e1gon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/canvas.png\" rel=\"lightbox[136318]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"751\" height=\"427\" src=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/canvas.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-136319\" srcset=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/canvas.png 751w, https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/canvas-300x171.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 751px) 100vw, 751px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ha jelent\u0151sen cs\u00f6kken a k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1ny, n\u00f6veked\u00e9si p\u00e1ly\u00e1ra \u00e1ll az orsz\u00e1g, stabilan alacsony marad az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3, stabilabb lesz a forint \u00e1rfolyam \u2013 \u00e9s sorolhatn\u00e1m, kinek mi fontos, \u2013 n\u0151ni fog a biztons\u00e1g\u00e9rzet. Elk\u00e9pzelhet\u0151nek tartom, hogy a csehekhez \u00e9s lengyelekhez hasonl\u00f3an kevesebben k\u00edv\u00e1nj\u00e1k majd az eur\u00f3 bevezet\u00e9s\u00e9t, Magyarorsz\u00e1gon is, mint kor\u00e1bban \u00e9s sz\u00edvesebben tartj\u00e1k \u00faj megtakar\u00edt\u00e1saikat forintban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Nagy Attila<\/strong>, a HOLD vezet\u0151 online vagyonkezel\u0151j\u00e9nek \u00edr\u00e1sait \u00e9s szeml\u00e9it <a href=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/author\/mezogazdasz\/\">itt b\u00f6ng\u00e9szheted a HOLDBLOG-on<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"panel  margit\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>JOGI NYILATKOZAT<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>A dokumentumban foglaltak nem min\u0151s\u00fclnek befektet\u00e9si aj\u00e1nlatnak, aj\u00e1nlatt\u00e9teli felh\u00edv\u00e1snak, befektet\u00e9si tan\u00e1csad\u00e1snak vagy ad\u00f3tan\u00e1csad\u00e1snak, befektet\u00e9si elemz\u00e9snek, az abban foglaltak alapj\u00e1n a HOLD Alapkezel\u0151 Zrt.-vel szemben ig\u00e9ny nem \u00e9rv\u00e9nyes\u00edthet\u0151, azok\u00e9rt a HOLD Alapkezel\u0151 Zrt. felel\u0151ss\u00e9get nem v\u00e1llal.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n<p><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az els\u0151 f\u00e9l\u00e9v forinter\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9se nagyon \u00e9rz\u00e9kenyen \u00e9rintette azokat, akik a kor\u00e1bbi \u00e1rfolyamgyeng\u00edt\u0151 jegybanki politika ellen v\u00e9dekezve eur\u00f3ban takar\u00edtottak meg. A forint vs. eur\u00f3 k\u00e9rd\u00e9sben viszont&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":84563,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3772,3773],"tags":[2724,5446,2719,63],"class_list":["post-136318","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-befektetesek","category-deviza","tag-euro","tag-eurobevezetes","tag-forint","tag-portfolioblogger"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forint vs. eur\u00f3: r\u00f6vid t\u00e1von nyer\u0151, hossz\u00fa t\u00e1von k\u00e9rd\u00e9ses - HOLDBLOG<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Forint vs eur\u00f3: A tudatos vagyonkezel\u00e9sben megl\u00e9v\u0151 igazi strat\u00e9giai szempontok ugyanis t\u00f6bbet sz\u00e1m\u00edtanak f\u00e9l \u00e9v devizamozg\u00e1s\u00e1n\u00e1l.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/forint-vs-euro-rovid-tavon-nyero-hosszu-tavon-kerdeses\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hu_HU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Forint vs. eur\u00f3: r\u00f6vid t\u00e1von nyer\u0151, hossz\u00fa t\u00e1von k\u00e9rd\u00e9ses - 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