{"id":31381,"date":"2015-07-17T10:11:49","date_gmt":"2015-07-17T08:11:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/?p=31381"},"modified":"2023-09-13T12:24:43","modified_gmt":"2023-09-13T10:24:43","slug":"a-tulelesukert-kuzdhetnek-india-egykori-csillagai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/a-tulelesukert-kuzdhetnek-india-egykori-csillagai\/","title":{"rendered":"A t\u00fal\u00e9l\u00e9s\u00fck\u00e9rt k\u00fczdhetnek India egykori csillagai"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Az 1990-es \u00e9vek k\u00f6zep\u00e9n emelkedtek fel az indiai outsourcing v\u00e1llalatok, amelyek olcs\u00f3 munkaerej\u00fcknek k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151en a vil\u00e1g legnagyobb v\u00e1llalatainak informatikai fejleszt\u00e9seit v\u00e9gezhett\u00e9k. A technika azonban rengeteget fejl\u0151d\u00f6tt az\u00f3ta \u00e9s a jelek szerint egy olyan szintre l\u00e9pett, ahol ezek a v\u00e1llalatok m\u00e1r egyre nehezebben tudnak labd\u00e1ba r\u00fagni. A probl\u00e9ma azonban nem korl\u00e1toz\u00f3dik egyetlen szektorra, ha ezekkel a c\u00e9gekkel nagyobb baj lesz, azt az eg\u00e9sz indiai gazdas\u00e1g megszenvedi majd. L\u00e1ssuk, hogyan k\u00fczdenek ezek az \u00e9letben marad\u00e1s\u00e9rt \u00e9s mi v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 t\u0151l\u00fck a j\u00f6v\u0151ben!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alig n\u00e9h\u00e1ny hete sz\u00e1moltunk be <a href=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/a-kozeljovo-sikersztorija-lehet-india\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">egy Indi\u00e1ban rejl\u0151 \u00f3ri\u00e1si lehet\u0151s\u00e9gr\u0151l,<\/a> az internetes kereskedelem robban\u00e1s\u00e1r\u00f3l. Az orsz\u00e1gban azonban nem minden arany, ami f\u00e9nylik. Van olyan szegmens is, ami hossz\u00fa \u00e9vek sz\u00e1rnyal\u00e1sa ut\u00e1n neh\u00e9z id\u0151knek n\u00e9zhet el\u00e9be. Az indiai outsourcing ipar\u00e1gr\u00f3l van sz\u00f3, ami olcs\u00f3 munkaer\u0151re \u00e9p\u00fcl\u0151 \u00fczleti modellj\u00e9vel eddig a vil\u00e1g legnagyobb v\u00e1llalatainak informatikai rendszerei\u00e9rt felelt. A helyzet azonban drasztikus fordulatot vett az ut\u00f3bbi id\u0151ben.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A probl\u00e9m\u00e1t az jelenti, hogy a technika fejl\u0151d\u00e9s\u00e9vel az outsourcing c\u00e9gek munk\u00e1j\u00e1t egyre egyszer\u0171bben tudj\u00e1k m\u00e1r felh\u0151alap\u00fa eszk\u00f6z\u00f6kkel p\u00f3tolni. Ez pedig az indiai programoz\u00f3k \u00e9s adatb\u00e1zis-kezel\u0151k ir\u00e1nti kereslet meredek visszaes\u00e9s\u00e9ben is krist\u00e1lytiszt\u00e1n megl\u00e1tszik m\u00e1r. (Az Information Services Group (ISG) becsl\u00e9se j\u00f3l mutatja a r\u00e9gi \u00e9s az \u00faj technol\u00f3gia k\u00f6z\u00f6tti k\u00fcl\u00f6nbs\u00e9get: m\u00edg a tradicion\u00e1lis szolg\u00e1ltat\u00f3kn\u00e1l egy technikus 200 szervert tudott fel\u00fcgyelni, felh\u0151alap\u00fa technol\u00f3gi\u00e1val ugyanez a technikus m\u00e1r 10 ezer szervert tud figyelemmel k\u00eds\u00e9rni.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-az-outsourcing-ipar-g-v-ltoz-sa-sz-mokban\">Az outsourcing ipar\u00e1g v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sa sz\u00e1mokban<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az outsourcing ipar\u00e1g n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9nek lassul\u00e1s\u00e1t t\u00e1masztj\u00e1k al\u00e1 az al\u00e1bbi igen figyelemre m\u00e9lt\u00f3 sz\u00e1mok is:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A vil\u00e1gszerte megk\u00f6t\u00f6tt outsourcing szerz\u0151d\u00e9sek \u00e9rt\u00e9ke <strong>206,8 milli\u00e1rdr\u00f3l 120,4 milli\u00e1rdra esett vissza<\/strong> 2010 \u00e9s 2014 k\u00f6z\u00f6tt.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A hasonl\u00f3 szerz\u0151d\u00e9seknek nem csak az \u00e9rt\u00e9ke, a sz\u00e1ma is jelent\u0151sen, <strong>37%-kal esett vissza<\/strong>. M\u00edg 2010-ben 1805 meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1s sz\u00fcletett, 2014-ben ezek sz\u00e1ma mind\u00f6ssze 1144-et tett ki.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A 10 legnagyobb outsourcing meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1s 2012-ben m\u00e9g \u00e1tlagosan 552 milli\u00f3 doll\u00e1rra r\u00fagott, ez a sz\u00e1m 2014-re <strong>452 milli\u00f3ra esett vissza<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2014-ben kilenc darab 1 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rn\u00e1l nagyobb \u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 outsourcing meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1s sz\u00fcletett vil\u00e1gszerte. Ez az elm\u00falt \u00e9vtized leggyeng\u00e9bb eredm\u00e9nye. De nem el\u00e9g, hogy sz\u00e1muk megritkult, t\u00f6bbs\u00e9g\u00fck <strong>egyre kevesebb c\u00e9g k\u00f6z\u00f6tt oszlik meg<\/strong>. A fenti kilenc szerz\u0151d\u00e9sb\u0151l p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul \u00f6t az IBM nev\u00e9hez kapcsol\u00f3dik.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A megb\u00edz\u00e1sok sz\u00e1m\u00e1nak cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se miatt a megb\u00edz\u00f3k egyre kem\u00e9nyebben nyomhatj\u00e1k le az \u00e1rakat. Az indai outsourcing szerz\u0151d\u00e9sek \u00e9rt\u00e9ke <strong>\u00e1tlagosan 20-30%-kal cs\u00f6kken <\/strong>azok meg\u00faj\u00edt\u00e1sakor.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Az outsourcing v\u00e1llalatok egyes becsl\u00e9sek szerint id\u00e9n <strong>mind\u00f6ssze 200-220 ezer munkahelyet teremtenek <\/strong>Indi\u00e1ban \u00fagy, hogy ez a sz\u00e1m 2011-ben m\u00e9g el\u00e9rte a 273 ezret.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Az indiai outsourcing \u00f3ri\u00e1sokn\u00e1l t\u00f6bb mint <strong>50%-kal esett vissza az \u00e9ves \u00e1rbev\u00e9tel n\u00f6veked\u00e9se <\/strong>2008-hoz k\u00e9pest.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/Global-outourcing-deals.jpg\" rel=\"lightbox[31381]\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/Global-outourcing-deals.jpg\" alt=\"Global outourcing deals\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ebbe a folyamatba t\u00f6k\u00e9letesen beleillik az AstraZeneca p\u00e9ld\u00e1ja is. Ahogy a Wall Street Journal is besz\u00e1molt r\u00f3la, a gy\u00f3gyszeripari \u00f3ri\u00e1sv\u00e1llalat a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 k\u00e9t \u00e9v sor\u00e1n <strong>fel\u00e9re v\u00e1gja vissza azt a 750 milli\u00f3 doll\u00e1ros k\u00f6lts\u00e9g\u00e9t<\/strong>, amit eddig \u00e9ves szinten az indiai outsourcing v\u00e1llalatoknak fizetett. Ezzel p\u00e1rhuzamosan pedig <strong>50%-kal cs\u00f6kkenti<\/strong> az inform\u00e1ci\u00f3technol\u00f3gi\u00e1val foglalkoz\u00f3 dolgoz\u00f3inak sz\u00e1m\u00e1t is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mindez pedig a teljes ipar\u00e1gra jellemz\u0151 lesz, ami s\u00falyosan \u00e9rinti majd az indiai outsourcing v\u00e1llalatok \u00e1rbev\u00e9tel\u00e9t \u00e9s profitj\u00e1t is, \u00e9s egzisztenci\u00e1lis fenyeget\u00e9st jelent mindazok sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra, akik a j\u00f6v\u0151ben nem tudnak alkalmazkodni az \u00faj helyzethez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-az-eg-sz-indiai-gazdas-gnak-sokat-rthat\">Az eg\u00e9sz indiai gazdas\u00e1gnak sokat \u00e1rthat<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az \u00faj trend azonban messze t\u00falmutat egyetlen szektor n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9nek lassul\u00e1s\u00e1n. Ehhez \u00e9rdemes tudni, hogy India exportj\u00e1nak 20%-\u00e1\u00e9rt az outsourcing felel, ahol indiaiak milli\u00f3i dolgoznak. Sz\u00e1mukra ez ny\u00fajt lehet\u0151s\u00e9get a szeg\u00e9nys\u00e9gb\u0151l val\u00f3 kit\u00f6r\u00e9sre. Az \u00e1rbev\u00e9tel cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9vel egy\u00fctt viszont az outsourcing v\u00e1llalatok munkahelyteremt\u00e9se is visszaesett, \u00e9s <strong>az \u00faj munkahelyek sz\u00e1ma az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sek szerint 5 \u00e9ves m\u00e9lypontra esik vissza az id\u00e9n. <\/strong>(A Tata Consultancy Services p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul a m\u00e1rciusban z\u00e1rult \u00fczleti \u00e9ve sor\u00e1n m\u00e1r alig t\u00f6bb mint 19 ezer \u00faj munkahelyet teremtett, szemben az egy \u00e9vvel ezel\u0151tti 24 ezerrel.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ha teh\u00e1t az olyan IT-outsourcing \u00f3ri\u00e1sok, mint a Tech Mahindra vagy a Wipro nem tudnak v\u00e1ltoztatni, az <strong>az eg\u00e9sz indiai gazdas\u00e1gra tekintve bor\u00fas k\u00e9pet vet\u00edt el\u0151re<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">De nagy probl\u00e9m\u00e1t jelent az is, hogy a felh\u0151alap\u00fa technol\u00f3gia terjed\u00e9s\u00e9n k\u00edv\u00fcl t\u00f6bb olyan t\u00e9nyez\u0151 is fel\u00fct\u00f6tte a fej\u00e9t, ami ennek <strong>hat\u00e1s\u00e1t s\u00falyosb\u00edtja.<\/strong> Ilyen p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul az automatikus k\u00f3d\u00edr\u00e1s terjed\u00e9se, az egyre ki\u00e9lezettebb verseny, illetve a v\u00e1llalatok informatikai k\u00f6lts\u00e9geinek folyamatos cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9se is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Megvan m\u00e1r az \u00faj ir\u00e1ny<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">India teh\u00e1t folyamatosan vesz\u00edt abb\u00f3l a vonzerej\u00e9b\u0151l, amit olcs\u00f3 munkaerej\u00e9nek k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhetett eddig. Ezzel egy\u00fctt viszont az \u00faj ir\u00e1ny is kirajzol\u00f3dni l\u00e1tszik. Erre az egyik legjobb p\u00e9ld\u00e1t az indiai outsourcing v\u00e1llalatok egyik \u00fatt\u00f6r\u0151je, a Wipro mutatja. Az informatikai \u00f3ri\u00e1sv\u00e1llalat egyr\u00e9szt a tervek szerint 158 ezer dolgoz\u00f3j\u00e1t\u00f3l v\u00e1lik meg, ezzel p\u00e1rhuzamosan viszont az\u00e9rt is k\u00fczd, hogy azokat a szoftverm\u00e9rn\u00f6keit megtarthassa, akik a felh\u0151alap\u00fa fejleszt\u00e9seit elv\u00e9gzik majd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">V\u00e1rhat\u00f3an ez lesz a sorsa az \u00f6sszes hasonl\u00f3 v\u00e1llalatnak: <strong>er\u0151s k\u00f6lts\u00e9gcs\u00f6kkent\u00e9s, mellette pedig intenz\u00edv fejleszt\u00e9s a felh\u0151alap\u00fa technol\u00f3gi\u00e1k ir\u00e1ny\u00e1ba.<\/strong> A fejl\u0151d\u00e9st ugyanis nem lehet \u00e9s nyilv\u00e1nval\u00f3an senki nem is akarja meg\u00e1ll\u00edtani.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az 1990-es \u00e9vek k\u00f6zep\u00e9n emelkedtek fel az indiai outsourcing v\u00e1llalatok, amelyek olcs\u00f3 munkaerej\u00fcknek k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151en a vil\u00e1g legnagyobb v\u00e1llalatainak informatikai fejleszt\u00e9seit v\u00e9gezhett\u00e9k. A technika azonban rengeteget&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[63],"class_list":["post-31381","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-alap","tag-portfolioblogger"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A t\u00fal\u00e9l\u00e9s\u00fck\u00e9rt k\u00fczdhetnek India egykori csillagai - HOLDBLOG<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/hold.hu\/holdblog\/a-tulelesukert-kuzdhetnek-india-egykori-csillagai\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hu_HU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A t\u00fal\u00e9l\u00e9s\u00fck\u00e9rt k\u00fczdhetnek India egykori csillagai - HOLDBLOG\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Az 1990-es \u00e9vek k\u00f6zep\u00e9n emelkedtek fel az indiai outsourcing v\u00e1llalatok, amelyek olcs\u00f3 munkaerej\u00fcknek k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151en a vil\u00e1g legnagyobb v\u00e1llalatainak informatikai fejleszt\u00e9seit v\u00e9gezhett\u00e9k. 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